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Tariffs and trade conflicts have no direct impact on Bitcoin and may increase adoption over the medium term. First, stagflation tends to be harmful for traditional assets like stocks and positive for scarce commodities like gold (Exhibit 3) 50 free spin. Bitcoin was not around for past stagflations but can also be considered a scarce digital commodity and is increasingly viewed as a modern store of value. Second, trade tensions may put pressure on reserve demand for the U.S. Dollar, opening space for competing assets, including other fiat currencies, gold, and Bitcoin (for more detail, see Market Byte: Tariffs, Stagflation, and Bitcoin). For these reasons, events over the last month have increased our confidence that portfolio demand for Bitcoin will continue to grow over the coming year.
Although tariffs and trade conflict dominated market attention, institutional investment in the crypto industry continued at a healthy pace, supported by increasing regulatory clarity (for more details, see March 2025: Institutional Chain Reaction). There are now two distinct trends: (1) traditional financial services firms investing in crypto, and (2) crypto-native firms starting to offer traditional financial services. Examples from the last month include reporting that Dutch bank ING is working on a stablecoin, moves by Mastercard to bring stablecoins into its payments network, an announcement from crypto exchange Kraken that it will offer equity and ETF trading, news that BitGo and others are working to get U.S. bank licenses, and the introduction of a new payments platform by stablecoin issuer Circle.
While the recovery is promising, analysts caution about a potential correction. An excess of optimism in the market could lead to short-term drops, especially if Bitcoin surpasses $100,000 without strong institutional support.
Encouragingly, market performance during April 2025 suggests that Bitcoin and other digital assets may be part of the solution (Exhibit 2). In a volatile month for traditional assets — in which the VIX briefly exceeded 50% — Bitcoin’s price appreciated 15% and our market-cap weighted Crypto Sectors index gained 11%. U.S. equities declined 1% on net, with weakness led by cyclical market segments. Gold and certain foreign currencies had gains comparable to Bitcoin on a risk-adjusted basis (i.e., accounting for each asset’s volatility).
What is the most likely outcome? Since the start of the year, BTC has been either in the ‘Still Cheap’ or ‘HODL’ zones. In addition, both breaking above local resistance and even retesting the asset’s all-time high (ATH) price of roughly $108,000 would place it firmly within the ‘HODL!’ zone. Therefore, the $95,164 to $125,174 range appears to be the most realistic forecast for April 30.
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The Jupiter executive explained JupNet in a detailed post, citing a Catstanbul 2025 announcement. JupNet is an omnichain network tackling blockchain interoperability with a decentralized state of truth, omnichain ledger, and aggregated decentralized identities (ADIs).
This week, one of the top crypto news stories is Mantle Network’s integration announcement. After the Tectonic Upgrade was implemented in March 2024 and the Mainnet Alpha launch in July 2023, the Mantle ecosystem will undergo a planned update.
The Jupiter executive explained JupNet in a detailed post, citing a Catstanbul 2025 announcement. JupNet is an omnichain network tackling blockchain interoperability with a decentralized state of truth, omnichain ledger, and aggregated decentralized identities (ADIs).
This week, one of the top crypto news stories is Mantle Network’s integration announcement. After the Tectonic Upgrade was implemented in March 2024 and the Mainnet Alpha launch in July 2023, the Mantle ecosystem will undergo a planned update.
Ripple-SEC Lawsuit Paused for 60 DaysRipple’s legal battle with the SEC is on pause, suggesting possible settlement talks. Ripple also announced a $1.25B acquisition of Hidden Road, expanding its global footprint.
Recently, Mantle Network integrated with EigenDA, reducing transaction fees significantly while improving transaction speed. As Mantle builds, it also integrates Stargate, enabling seamless, bridgeless transfers.
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The latest CoinShares report indicates crypto inflows totaling $785 million recorded for the week ending May 17. While it represents a slight drop from the previous week’s $882 million, it marks the fifth week of consecutive positive flows.
Nevertheless, Ethereum saw the highlight of last week’s crypto inflows. According to the CoinShares report, crypto inflows into Ethereum reached $205 million. This was a notable climb from the previous report’s $1.5 million.
“Ethereum was the standout performer, with US$205m in inflows last week and $575 million YTD, indicating renewed investor optimism following the successful Pectra upgrade and the appointment of new co-executive director Tomasz Stańczak,” Butterfill wrote.
The latest CoinShares report indicates crypto inflows totaling $785 million recorded for the week ending May 17. While it represents a slight drop from the previous week’s $882 million, it marks the fifth week of consecutive positive flows.
Nevertheless, Ethereum saw the highlight of last week’s crypto inflows. According to the CoinShares report, crypto inflows into Ethereum reached $205 million. This was a notable climb from the previous report’s $1.5 million.
“Ethereum was the standout performer, with US$205m in inflows last week and $575 million YTD, indicating renewed investor optimism following the successful Pectra upgrade and the appointment of new co-executive director Tomasz Stańczak,” Butterfill wrote.